Grizzlies Draft Headquarters 3.0: Is it moving time?
One of the names continuously linked to the Grizzlies is Oregon’s Chris Duarte, a 6-foot-6, 24-year-old guard. (Paul Sancya/AP file)
The NBA draft is less than a week away, and the speculation continues to swirl.
For the Memphis Grizzlies, this draft hopefully will be a continuation of their recent successes, which nabbed them three all-rookie players in each of the past two years.
Here’s the latest in the draft universe involving the blossoming Grizzlies:
Is it moving time?
Time to get a deal done is ticking down to the July 29 draft, but with only a couple of days before the Grizzlies are on the clock, they seem about as committed to staying put at pick No. 17 as Texas and Oklahoma are committed to staying put in the Big 12.
They aren’t.
That’s not to say there is absolutely no chance they will be picking just past the halfway marker of the first round. If the player they want takes a slide or goes before they can negotiate a move up, they could stick around at 17 or even move back.
So clearly there’s some flexibility here, and a lot will rely on circumstance, which makes any sort of deal most likely to come on draft night, not prior.
One of the reported trade partners Memphis could negotiate a deal with is New Orleans, first by Jake Fischer of Bleacher Report and corroborated by a source. The Pelicans hold pick No. 10.
Making that type of move would clearly require giving back Pick 17 and perhaps taking on another contract, like veteran Eric Bledsoe’s. Bledsoe is owed $18 million next season and has about $4 million guaranteed in 2022-23.
It’s a move that would clear up salary cap space for New Orleans, a team looking for a counterpart star to keep Zion Williamson happy. The Grizzlies can offer Justise Winslow in a deal for Bledsoe or Steven Adams, or they could decline his $13 million team option to clear the space and roster spot for Winslow.
To recap: Memphis would receive pick No. 10 and take on salary (in this scenario, Bledsoe’s), while New Orleans gets No. 17 and cap space via the Grizzlies declining Winslow.
Could there be more of significance?
From an on-court perspective, it doesn’t make sense for the Grizzlies to add Bledsoe, another undersized point guard.
Memphis already has Ja Morant and Tyus Jones. The team could add another backcourt player to the deal to make it happen.
Jones would probably be the ideal choice to ship out in this scenario, but his $7.6 million contract likely would hinder the Pelicans from clearing the amount of cap space they want. That means the trade potentially could include John Konchar ($2 million) or Grayson Allen ($4 million) -- or not.
That’s only one possibility. Any sort of move up in the draft could follow a similar model. Memphis gets a better pick, while a trade partner gets No. 17, more free-agency wiggle room via Winslow and potentially another player.
Some buzz
Throwing out “buzz” names prior to the draft can be hit or miss, if only because the buzz surrounding those names can be entirely legitimate or smoke intended to throw teams around the pick off the trail.
But the names that have continuously been linked to the Grizzlies have been Oregon’s Chris Duarte, Arkansas’ Moses Moody, Tennessee’s Jaden Springer and Virginia’s Trey Murphy III.
Some players make more sense than others should the Grizzlies decide to move up — Duarte and Moody, in particular. Those are two names generally considered long shots to make it to pick No. 17.
Duarte, who is already 24 years old, is a knockdown shooter with loads of offensive potential. He scored more than 17 points per game last season for Oregon and shot better than 42% from 3-point range. That makes him an instant floor spacer at the next level and a useful player for any team — even Memphis, already loaded in the backcourt.
If the Grizzlies believe Duarte’s 6-foot-6 frame is big enough to play and defend on the wing, it’s a pick that would make plenty of sense. He also has spent time at the same gym this summer as Morant, at the House of Athlete near Miami.
Arkansas' Moses Moody is one of the players mentioned as a possible draft for the Grizzlies. (Jeff Roberson/AP)
The premise applies for 19-year-old Moody, who is 6-6 and also scored roughly 17 points per game in college last season. He shot a lower 3-point percentage than Duarte on roughly the same volume (35%), but also boasts a 7-2 wingspan with plenty of room to improve.
If Murphy and Springer are on the radar, there is a chance the Grizzlies could wait and grab them with their own selection, or potentially move back while attempting to pick up another draft asset.
Murphy is a wing player with size (6-9) and a good shooting stroke, but doesn’t hit the athletic markers of the other two players.
Springer, a 6-4 guard, would certainly feel like an out-of-the-box selection, given the full backcourt. But he has the athleticism to become a great perimeter defender, and also has a familiarity with Morant.
Winslow’s future
As previously noted in the hypothetical trade with New Orleans, Winslow’s future with the Grizzlies could hang in the balance on July 29.
Justise Winslow
If the Grizzlies do make some sort of move up and take back an expensive contract in the exchange, perhaps with the Pelicans or Warriors, that probably would mean the end for Winslow in Memphis one way or another.
Even if they don’t include him in a trade, his $13 million team option suddenly could become too expensive, and Memphis would be forced to move on or renegotiate a much lower deal.
If a trade doesn’t happen, it could make sense for the Grizzlies to simply pick up Winslow’s team option and hold on to him another year, especially if they don’t intend to make a major free-agent signing that would exceed Winslow’s existing deal. His current contract would expire at the end of the season anyway and the Grizzlies would enter next offseason with significant cap space.
The other option in a non-trade scenario is to decline Winslow’s team option, which would give them more than $20 million to use in free agency this offseason. They could use that money on more cost-efficient signings, or potentially contract extensions for current players.
Jones, Kyle Anderson and Jonas Valanciunas enter the upcoming season on expiring contracts.
Topics
Memphis Grizzlies Grizzlies NBA Justise Winslow 2021 NBA Draft Subscriber OnlyAre you enjoying your subscription?
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Drew Hill
Drew Hill covers the Memphis Grizzlies and is a top-10 APSE winner. He has worked throughout the South writing about college athletics before landing in Memphis.
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